"Thank goodness for world peak oil production in 2018. And peak coal in 2013. Since oil is that master resource that makes every product and activity possible, including oil itself and coal and natural gas, peak oil means peak everything. Oil, specifically the 25% of a barrel that’s diesel, is used by nearly all heavy-duty trucks, locomotives, and ships. Petroleum and natural gas are the for 500,000 products. And fossils are essential for products needing high heat in their manufacture, like cement, steel, iron, glass, ceramics, microchips, bricks and more — there are no electric or hydrogen substitutes and with peak oil in 2018, no time to invent them."
(from the blogpost Will global warming drive us extinct? A review of Peter Ward’s “Under a Green Sky”.
Posted on the blog Energy Skeptic on
October 7, 2022.)
In this blogpost Alice Friedemann writes that humanity will not go extinct in the future, and this is because of Peak Oil 2018 and Peak Coal 2013, there are not enough fossil fuels in the ground for climage change to become so dangerous that we go extinct, and if we take Peak Oil and Peak Coal into our climate models, we may "at worst reach low-medium IPCC projections", says Friedemann.
I beg to disagree. We should not look that much on computer models, we should not trust them that much. Usually they have performed pretty badly when they are reality checked backwards. What we should follow more eagerly, is for example what happens in the Arctic in real time, there one can follow in real time the death march of the Arctic Sea Ice. Without the Arctic Ice cap refrigerator, temperatures will skyrocket all around the planet. Friedemann does not talk about this Achilles heel of the climate. And she does not take into account the loss of Global Dimming when civilization collapses. No computer climate model, as far as I know, have taken into account Global Dimming and what effects the collapse of civilization will have on nature. The collapse will probably make us deforest most of the planet, to be able to warm ourselves when electricity fails. This has an immense effect on the climate.
But Friedemann also count on the
Arctic Methane Time Bomb not being fired in the future, which is a fragile hope indeed. Maybe she is right, but when even several famous university professors with expertise in the field, fear this time bomb, people like prof.
Peter Wadhams and prof.
Guy McPherson, then we should not put too much trust in the opposite camp being right. I am open to Friedemann's position in the debate, and
I really hope she is right, but I do not count on it.
And at last, our sacred scriptures (especially the Bible and its Book of Revelation) prophecy about a cataclysm in the end times where the planet will die (see especially
Matt. 24:35: "
Heaven and earth will pass away, but my words will never pass away") and a new transformed and purified one will emerge from the ashes (
Rev. 21:5: "
And he who was seated on the throne said, “Behold, I am making all things new.”) . This is maybe the most important piece of information to me. The Book of Revelation is, in my eyes, the most inspired writing in the whole history of literature.
