Forest Man

Lars Larsen's blog

Global net oil export mathematics, part 8: Still one more final remark

Publicerad 2022-12-11 14:32:00 i Collapse of civilization, Collapse preparation, Death and life after death, Doomsday, Export Land Model and oil exports, Financial crises, Peak Diesel and global net diesel exports, Peak Oil and energy questions, Wars,

(part 7 is here)
 
Although I have tried to calculate the end of the global oil export market, I do not believe that reality will follow my calculations. I do not think it's even possible to calculate exactly what will happen in the oil export market, because the oil exporting countries will not cease their exports when the end of the oil exports market is in sight in the middle of this decade, they will probably instead begin to export oil from the volume of oil they consume themselves, thus, by shrinking their own economy, saving the oil importing nations for the day, just as the rich countries today aid the poor countries which are collapsing, like we in EU have helped Greece from collapsing. This will postpone the end of the oil exports market, but it will not postpone the collapse of global civilization by much. These coming acts of saving the collapsing countries will just make us all go down together at the same time, instead of some going down and some staying afloat. So I do not regret my prediction in the epilogue of part 6 of this series, that "global collapse may come 2026, at the latest". At least the collapse starts by then. Isn't some form of collapse underway already? One and a half month ago Tsvetana Paraskova wrote in an article on OilPrice.com that the diesel shortage is just worsening. Will it not worsen still as the time goes by? Especially considering the shrinking amount of oil exports, and the EU oil embargo and the coming dramatic EU ban on imports of Russian refined oil products like diesel? (See the article "Russia Is Feeling the Pain of Europe’s Oil Embargo" by Julian Lee on 11 december 2022 on Bloomberg). Yes, I believe that we will slowly collapse more and more until the Collapse is a visible fact for all to see. Then nobody will be able to deny it. We will all talk about it then. And then the stock market will finally have an epic crash, the debt market will implode and the Great Collapse of Global Industrial Civilization will begin. We have four years at most. Four years to prepare. Please, prepare physically and mentally/spiritually. The spiritual side of preparation is the most important. Stock up on food. Make peace with death. Because death for most people will be premature. 

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Lars Larsen

Born 1984 in Finland. Norwegian, lives in Stockholm, Sweden. Poet, ecotheologian and ecophilosopher (though not an academic such in both cases, although he studied theology for almost three years at Åbo Academy University), is also called "The monk" ("munken", he is monk in a self-founded monastery order, "Den Heliga Naturens Orden", "The Order of the Holy Nature"), he calls himself "Forest Man Snailson" (Skogsmannen Snigelson) because of certain strong ties to Nature and the animals, founded among other things through many years of homelessness living in tent, cot, cave and several huts in the Flaten Nature Reserve, the Nacka Reserve and "Kaknästornsskogen" outside of Stockholm. He debuted as a poet in 2007 with "Över floden mig" ("Across the river of me"), published by himself, he has also published an ecotheological work, "Djurisk teologi. Paradisets återkomst" (Animalistic theology. The return of paradise") on Titel förlag 2010. He has published the poem collection "Naturens återkomst" (The return of Nature) on Fri Press förlag 2018 together with Titti Spaltro, his ex-girlfriend. Lars's professions are two, cleaner and painter (buildings). Before he was homeless, but right now he lives in Attendo Herrgårdsvägen, a psychiatric group home for mental patients in Danderyd, Stockholm. His adress is: Herrgårdsvägen 25, 18239 Danderyd, Sverige. One can reach him in the comments section on this blog. His texts on this blog are without copyright, belonging to "Public Domain". He is the author of the texts, if no one is mentioned.

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